S5/10Economic
US LPG supplies to India to reach record 1 mln tons in June — Reuters
Before the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, India met 90% of its LPG demand through imports from the Middle East
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 29% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Increased geopolitical tensions between India and the Middle East due to a diplomatic dispute or escalating trade disputes. Reports of increased activity in the Strait of Hormuz, indicating heightened security concerns. Time horizon: 2
- ◆4 weeks Impact: The US LPG supply to India will likely experience significant disruption as sanctions on Iran and other Gulf states are intensified. Indi
Horizon: 14–28 days