S5/10Economic
Oil Steadies as Iran Sales Waiver Signals Peace Talks Progress
Oil steadied as traders weighed early progress in peace talks over the Iran war, which included a US waiver allowing some sales of barrels from the Islamic Republic.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 19% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Confirmation indicators
- ◆кво) — 38% [Базовый сценарий: мирный урегулированный конфликт → стабильность на рынках] Confirmation
Horizon: 7–30 days