S6/10Military
Ukrainians resent assault regiments over torture, heavy losses — captive soldier
According to the POW, only a small number of troops return from combat missions
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days