Сценарий A: Эскалация?

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Сценарии event-driven intelligence Scenario A (Escalation) — 42% Germany's economic model is facing a crisis. The country relies heavily on exports, but China's slowing imports and the increasing threat of US tariffs are creating pressure. Politicians offer few concrete solutions. This escalation could trigger a deeper recession with potential for political instability. Индикаторы подтверждения: Significant drop in German export volumes to China (e.g., -15% over next 3 months (42% model probability, not a guarantee)