Сценарий A: Эскалация?

Question

Accepted Answer

Сценарии Scenario A (Escalation) — 45% Myanmar's military junta has shown no willingness to engage with ASEAN in a meaningful way since detaining Aung San Suu Kyi. The recent move of transferring her from prison to house arrest is likely just a tactic to maintain control and deflect international pressure. This escalation will likely involve increased political, diplomatic, and possibly even military action by the junta against neighboring countries or international organizat (45% model probability, not a guarantee)