S5/10Economic
Embraer Arijan Meijer on Tariff Impact Within Aviation
Embraer CEO Arijan Meijer speaks at the International Air Transport Association (IATA) on the impact of tariffs saying it "makes sense" for aviation to be excluded. (Source: Bloomberg)
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation— 26% model probability
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Press releases from EU or US government officials expressing concerns about tariffs on aviation. Increased media coverage of trade disputes between nations.
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo— 54% model probability
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Press releases from EU or US government officials expressing concerns about tariffs on aviation. Increased media coverage of trade disputes between nations.
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation— 20% model probability
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Press releases from EU or US government officials expressing concerns about tariffs on aviation. Increased media coverage of trade disputes between nations.
Horizon: 7–30 days