S6/10Military
Ukraine loses 13,500 troops in Konstantinovka to show fake gains — General Staff
Russian army also destroyed 14 tanks, 283 armored fighting vehicles, 1,400 motor vehicles
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 49% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days