S8/10Geopolitical
Russian strikes reduce Ukraine's ability to make missiles — chief of general staff
Valery Gerasimov emphasized that the Kiev regime's critical dependence on supplies of components, explosives and fuel from Western countries continues to grow
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence по данным каскада:
Horizon: 7–30 days