S9/10Geopolitical
Security Council LIVE: Warnings of ‘dangerous cycle of escalation’ in Ukraine
The Security Council is holding an open meeting on Ukraine on Monday afternoon, with warnings of a “dangerous cycle of escalation” amid drone and missile attacks in briefings by Mohamed Khaled Khiari, Assistant Secretary-General at the Departments of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs and Peace Operations, and Edem Wosornu, crisis response director at the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, OCHA.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days