S6/10Geopolitical
Manila Bulletin - 1 killed in attack on Crimea as Putin and Zelenskyy hold separate Trump calls
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 40% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days