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S5/10Economic
‘100 is just a number...let rupee depreciate or reserves will bleed out’: 16th Finance Commission chief Arvind Panagariya’s advice to RBI
Arvind Panagariya, Chairman of the 16th Finance Commission, advises the Reserve Bank of India to allow the Indian rupee to weaken.
He believes aggressively defending the currency with foreign exchange reserves is a losing strategy.
Panagariya suggests that letting the rupee depreciate is the correct response to rising oil prices and currency pressure.
Source: Economic Times
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 14–28 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 14–28 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 14–28 days
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