S6/10Geopolitical
'Two weeks after her death I got a call': Gaza patients face agonising delays for evacuation
An estimated 300 Palestinians referred for treatment abroad have died since the ceasefire began, according to Gaza's Hamas-run health ministry.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 31% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days