S6/10Geopolitical
Civilian dangers multiply as drones transform Ukraine's battlefield
As drones reshape the battlefield in Ukraine, they are also creating new and increasingly complex dangers for civilians, threatening recovery efforts, agriculture and global food security long after the fighting ends.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days