S6/10Geopolitical
US attained practically all its goals during negotiations with Iran — Trump
The US president said he was not going to wage a war against Iran for years
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 37% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days