S8/10Geopolitical
Middle East live: Iran begins days-long funeral for late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Iran on Saturday began a days-long funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The 86-year-old was killed in an air strike at the start of the US-Israeli war with Iran. Mourners wept when authorities unveiled the casket containing Khamenei’s body at the Grand Mosalla in Tehran. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 67% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days