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S5/10Economic
Aluminum Squeeze Deepens as Spreads Tighten and Inventories Drop
The aluminum market is facing a deepening shortage as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz throttles supply, with spot prices for the metal spiking while exchange inventories slump.
Source: Bloomberg Markets
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
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