S9/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with 105 drones and two missiles, strikes recorded at 16 locations
Russia attacked Ukraine overnight with two Kh-59/69 air-launched missiles and 105 attack drones. Ukrainian air defences shot down 83 aerial assets, but one missile and 21 drones struck 16 locations.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 79% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days