S9/10Geopolitical

Iran fires missiles after Israeli attacks on Lebanon

Iran fires missiles after Israeli attacks on Lebanon Submitted by Elis Gjevori on Sun, 06/07/2026 - 20:34 Missile fire from Iran followed Israel’s continued attacks on Beirut’s southern suburbs. Off Iran has fired missiles towards northern Israel on Sunday after warning that Israel must stop its attacks on Lebanon or face “more crushing and regretful blows”. The Israeli military said it detected missiles launched from Iran and activated air defence systems to intercept them. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards tied the attack directly to Israel’s assaults on Lebanon, including strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs. “We had previously warned that if the crimes in the Dahieh area of Beirut expand, we will attack targets in the occupied territories,” IRGC top joint military command said. This is a developing story. We will bring you more as we get it. War on Iran News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0

07 Jun 2026, 19:41 UTCSource: Middle East EyeOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation90% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased reports of casualties on both sides within 24 hours.
  • Confirmation of Iranian missiles hitting specific military installations in Israel.
  • The UN Security Council convenes, with no consensus on a resolution.
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo6% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased reports of casualties on both sides within 24 hours.
  • Confirmation of Iranian missiles hitting specific military installations in Israel.
  • The UN Security Council convenes, with no consensus on a resolution.
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation4% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased reports of casualties on both sides within 24 hours.
  • Confirmation of Iranian missiles hitting specific military installations in Israel.
  • The UN Security Council convenes, with no consensus on a resolution.
Horizon: 7–30 days