S8/10Geopolitical
Asian Stocks Set to Rebound on Iran, AI Optimism: Markets Wrap
Asian stocks are set to rebound from their biggest drop since March, tracking gains on Wall Street, while oil was steady as Iran and Israel pledged to ease strikes that threatened peace talks in the Middle East.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation— 63% model probability
Did not materialiseConfirmation indicators
- ◆A significant escalation in military activity between Iran and Israel, confirmed by independent sources like satellite imagery analysis or statements from international organizations.
- ◆Time Horizon: 7
Horizon: 7–14 days
B
Status quo— 27% model probability
Did not materialiseConfirmation indicators
- ◆A significant escalation in military activity between Iran and Israel, confirmed by independent sources like satellite imagery analysis or statements from international organizations.
- ◆Time Horizon: 7
Horizon: 7–14 days
C
De-escalation— 10% model probability
Did not materialiseConfirmation indicators
- ◆A significant escalation in military activity between Iran and Israel, confirmed by independent sources like satellite imagery analysis or statements from international organizations.
- ◆Time Horizon: 7
Horizon: 7–14 days