S8/10Geopolitical

Iran says ready to respond to any potential threats

Iran says ready to respond to any potential threats Iran is ready to respond to any threats despite ongoing negotiations with the US, a senior official said Monday. Ghadir Nezami, Iran’s deputy secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, made the comments during a visit to India to meet Chinese representatives. "We look forward to China continuing to play an important role in supporting the effective implementation of the first-phase MOU between Iran and the United States. We highly appreciate China's active role on international and regional issues," he said.

22 Jun 2026, 14:11 UTCSource: Middle East EyeOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация70% model probability

Iran's verbal threats escalate to concrete actions, including military exercises near disputed areas in the Persian Gulf. A US naval vessel responds with increased patrols and a show of force near Iranian waters. This triggers retaliatory measures from Iran, potentially involving missile tests or even attacks on critical infrastructure. Confirmation indicators: Increased frequency of Iranian military exercises near disputed territories. US

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased frequency of Iranian military exercises near disputed territories. US
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво22% model probability

Iran's verbal threats escalate to concrete actions, including military exercises near disputed areas in the Persian Gulf. A US naval vessel responds with increased patrols and a show of force near Iranian waters. This triggers retaliatory measures from Iran, potentially involving missile tests or even attacks on critical infrastructure. Confirmation indicators: Increased frequency of Iranian military exercises near disputed territories. US

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased frequency of Iranian military exercises near disputed territories. US
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация8% model probability

Iran's verbal threats escalate to concrete actions, including military exercises near disputed areas in the Persian Gulf. A US naval vessel responds with increased patrols and a show of force near Iranian waters. This triggers retaliatory measures from Iran, potentially involving missile tests or even attacks on critical infrastructure. Confirmation indicators: Increased frequency of Iranian military exercises near disputed territories. US

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased frequency of Iranian military exercises near disputed territories. US
Horizon: 7–30 days