S6/10Geopolitical
EC says union budget would need to increase 12-15-fold in event of war with Russia
European Commissioner for Defense Andrius Kubilius stressed that the EU's seven-year Multiannual Financial Framework for 2028-2034 is about 1.28% GNI
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 44% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days