S8/10Geopolitical
US ready to discuss disagreements with Iran, but to respond to violence — JD Vance
Earlier, the US Central Command reported strikes on Iranian territory in response to an attack on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days