S8/10Geopolitical
Ukraine strike kills 6 in Russia Kursk region
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 72% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days