S8/10Geopolitical
Over 4,300 killed in Israeli strikes since March 2 Lebanon escalation — health ministry
Another 12,199 were injured
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 67% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Horizon: 7–30 days