S8/10Geopolitical
Russia hits Ukrainian warehouse, gas station, temporary duty station
Russia's Defense Ministry also added that in the village of Korosten, Zhitomir Region, a successful strike was carried out on a railway train using the Geran-2 Seeker drone
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days