S6/10Geopolitical
More than 200 UAVs headed toward Moscow Region over past 24 hours — mayor
Air defenses neutralized most of them at long range, while 62 were destroyed as they approached the city
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days