S8/10Geopolitical
US voters say Trump’s Iran war not worth the cost — FT poll
Survey shows conflict is dragging down president’s approval ratings ahead of November midterms
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 60% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days