S6/10Geopolitical
Strait of Hormuz transits increase as US-Iran ceasefire holds
Number of ships passing via waterway quadruples over the past week as tankers cautiously return
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 34% model probability
Сценарии: Strait of Hormuz transits increase as US-Iran ceasefire holds
Horizon: 7–30 days