Сценарий A: Эскалация?

Question

Accepted Answer

Сценарии Scenario A (Escalation) — 45% Confirmation indicators: Increased military activity in the South China Sea. China's navy conducts more patrols near disputed islands. US Navy deployments are observed in the region, including drills and exercises. US State Department releases statements expressing concern over Chinese actions. These statements may include calls for dialogue but also emphasize the need for a strong US military presence in the region. China conducts balli (59% model probability, not a guarantee)