S6/10Geopolitical
Medvedev calls Bab el-Mandeb Strait Iran’s 'thermonuclear weapon'
Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman added that "by blocking traffic, Iran has, of course, demonstrated its strength
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days