S6/10Social

America’s first sphere of influence becomes the test of its power at 250

As the United States marks the 250th anniversary of its founding, it confronts a new world order dominated by its relationship with China. In this wide-ranging series, we examine the pressure points and possibilities in those ties, from hard tech to soft power. Here, Teresa Elena Frontado and Igor Patrick look at how Beijing is testing long-standing US influence in the western hemisphere. Asked during the 2024 presidential campaign whether he was concerned about Brazil and Mexico drifting...

03 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCSource: South China Morning PostOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация29% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days