S6/10Geopolitical
G20 to consider economic dimension of restrictive measures — Russian sherpa
According to an estimate by the World Economic Forum in Davos, the negative impact of current international sanctions and restrictions amounts to around $200-300 bln annually, Denis Agafonov added
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 37% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days