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S5/10Economic
Russia’s declining inflation opens door to easing monetary policy, lowering key rate
President of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs Alexander Shokhin still noted that companies are registering a growing number of problems, including the curtailment of investment programs and difficulties in relations with suppliers, which have led to delivery delays
Source: TASS English
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 20–30 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 20–30 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 20–30 days
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