S6/10Geopolitical
Lithuanian defense minister backs lifting constitutional ban on nukes deployment
Robertas Kaunas said that prohibition of nuclear weapons prevents Lithuania from making full use of NATO's defense capabilities
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 40% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days