S6/10Geopolitical
Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei absent from mass funeral for father
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s son and successor was not among the family members and thousands of mourners who turned out Sunday for a second day of ceremonies to honour Iran’s late supreme leader. Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of the public eye since he was wounded in the strike that killed his father.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days