S8/10Geopolitical
Trump says Iran attacks on ships violation of ceasefire
Trump says Iran attacks on ships violation of ceasefire Iran has fired at least four one-way attack drones at ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, US President Donald Trump said on Friday, adding that one of the drones hit the upper deck of a cargo ship. "Damage was done, but the Ship was able to proceed on its way. We knocked down three other Drones. Obviously, this is a foolish violation of our Ceasefire Agreement," Trump wrote on Truth Social.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days