S8/10Geopolitical
Saudi-led coalition pledges ‘unprecedented’ force against Houthi threats
Threats escalate after Houthis block Saudi warplanes, allowing Iranian plane to land in Sanaa for first time in decade.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 62% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days