S6/10Geopolitical
Over one-third of Poles say their attitude towards Ukrainians has worsened – poll
According to an IBRiS poll, 33.6% of Poles say their attitude towards Ukrainians has worsened following the recent crisis in Polish-Ukrainian relations.
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days