S6/10Geopolitical
Lithuanian leadership backs lifting constitutional ban on nuclear weapons deployment
President Gitanas Nauseda, Acting Prime Minister Inga Ruginiene, designated Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevicius, Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas and Speaker of the Seimas Juozas Olekas supported the initiative
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 45% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days