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Geopolitical··severity 8

Araghchi meets Hamas and Hezbollah delegations in Tehran

Araghchi meets Hamas and Hezbollah delegations in Tehran Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi held separate meetings in Tehran with delegations from Hamas and Hezbollah, who were in the Iranian capital to attend funeral ceremonies for former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. According to Iran’s foreign ministry, the Hamas delegation, led by Mohammad Darwish, offered condolences and discussed conditions in Gaza and the occupied West Bank, while a Hezbollah delegation headed by senior official Muhammad Fneish conveyed condolences from the group’s leader Naim Qassem. Araghchi said Iran would continue efforts to end the conflict in Lebanon in line with the ceasefire memorandum and paid tribute to former Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi speaks during a joint press conference with his Iraqi counterpart in Baghdad, 28 June 2026 (Ahmad Rubaye/AFP)

Сценарии цепочки

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

45%

Сценарий А (Эскалация) - 45% В последние дни встречи между Abbas Araghchi и делегациями Hamas и Hezbollah в Тегеране наблюдается увеличение напряженности в регионе. Эта встреча может быть первым шагом к эскалации конфликта, поскольку обе стороны могут использовать эту возможность для продвижения своих интересов. Индикаторы подтверждения: - Увеличение тону заявлений с обеих сторон. - Наблюдение за увеличением военных учений и тренировок в регионе. - Снижение диапазона дипломат

Первичный источник: Middle East Eye

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