Geopolitical··severity 6
Ukrainian forces strike two Russian petrol tankers bound for Crimea in Sea of Azov – video
Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces struck two tankers carrying petrol from Taganrog to occupied Crimea in the Sea of Azov on the night of 5-6 July. On land, they hit two S-400 Triumph air defence systems, an oil depot in Kerch and a Nebo-U radar station.
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Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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44%Эскалация
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Первичный источник: Ukrainska Pravda
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