Geopolitical··severity 6
Explosions heard near Macron's Damascus hotel amid high-risk, landmark visit
Explosions were heard in Damascus as French President Emmanuel Macron is holding a surprise visit to Damascus, hosted by Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa. Macron played a major role in pushing Europe and the United States to drop most sanctions on Syria. FRANCE 24's Clovis Casali and Matthew-Mary Caruchet tell us more about the risks and stakes of this visit.
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Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Первичный источник: France24
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