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Military··severity 9

US needs to move bases from Gulf to Israel, former Centcom commander says

US needs to move bases from Gulf to Israel, former Centcom commander says The US needs to relocate its bases in the Gulf to Israel and neighbouring countries to better protect its assets from Iran’s missiles and drones, the former head of US Central Command (Centcom), General Frank McKenzie, said at a webinar last week. “No one in their right mind would ever put the Centcom forward headquarters, you know, 100 miles away from Iran, [in Qatar], yet that’s where it is,” he told the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, referring to al-Udeid military base. McKenzie, who was the top military official overseeing US forces in the Middle East from 28 March 2019 to 1 April 2022, said that in 2022, he and other officials told the Biden administration that the constellation of US bases around the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain was vulnerable to Iranian attacks and US forces should be dispersed to the West, including to Israel. Read more: US needs to move bases from Gulf to Israel, former Centcom commander says

Сценарии цепочки

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Сценарий А (Эскалация) - 80% В случае эскалации ситуация может принять следующую форму: В течение 7-10 дней после публикации заявления генерал-майора Фрэнка Макензи о необходимости перемещения баз US в Израиль,Iran может ответить на это действием с помощью своих ракетных комплексов и дроносов. В течение 14-21 дня после эскалации США могут решить принять меры по защите своих интересов, что может привести к увеличению военных действий в регионе. Индикаторы подтверждения: Увелич

Первичный источник: Middle East Eye

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