S6/10Social
US withdraws troops from Nigeria after Islamic State mission
The US said the joint operation, which began in December last year, was a success.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 27% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days