Сценарий A: Эскалация?

Question

Accepted Answer

Сценарии US-China Conflict: Scenario A (Escalation): 45% Confirmation indicators: Increased military exercises near disputed territories in the South China Sea (e.g., Taiwan Strait). Escalating rhetoric from both sides, with increased public statements and diplomatic pressure. Growing tensions in trade relations, including restrictions on specific goods or sectors. Reports of cyberattacks targeting each other's critical infrastructure. Time horizon: Within 6-12 months. Scenar (61% model probability, not a guarantee)