S8/10Geopolitical
“Make Iran Ungovernable” – Tracking Efforts To Destroy Iran’s Police Infrastructure
Bellingcat has identified at least 80 police stations or infrastructure related to law enforcement agencies and the Basij paramilitary group that has been damaged or destroyed in the first three weeks of the United States and Israel’s war against Iran. Experts told Bellingcat that both countries aim to degrade the Iranian regime’s “repressive capacity”. Combined, […] The post “Make Iran Ungovernable” – Tracking Efforts To Destroy Iran’s Police Infrastructure appeared first on bellingcat .
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days