S8/10Geopolitical
Russians launch large-scale strikes on filling stations and Naftogaz facilities in four oblasts
Russia has attacked petrol stations and production facilities belonging to the Naftogaz Group in Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Poltava oblasts.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 74% model probability
Сценарий А (Эскалация) - 50% Russia intensifies attacks on critical infrastructure, including fuel storage facilities and Naftogaz production sites in Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Poltava oblasts. The situation escalates as Russian forces launch coordinated strikes, causing widespread power outages and disruptions to the energy supply. Сценарий Б (Статус-кво) - 38% Russia continues to attack fuel storage facilities and Naftogaz production sites in Ukraine, but w
Horizon: 7–30 days