S8/10Geopolitical

After the Invasion: China Considers the Problem of Ruling Taiwan

In August 2024, scholars at a Xiamen-based think tank published a paper urging Beijing to immediately establish a shadow Taiwan government on the Chinese mainland in preparation for a full takeover of the island. “It is imperative to prepare a plan for the comprehensive takeover of Taiwan after unification,” they said. The scholars were writing at a fraught moment for Beijing.Only months earlier, the anti-China Democratic Progressive Party had taken office after a third consecutive presidential election win. Unusually for a Chinese publication on such a sensitive topic, the paper made several frank admissions: that opposition to unification within Taiwan The post After the Invasion: China Considers the Problem of Ruling Taiwan appeared first on War on the Rocks .

05 Jun 2026, 07:30 UTCSource: War on the RocksOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация64% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days