S8/10Geopolitical
UN says Iran nuclear pledge needs 'very strong' verification
The UN's nuclear chief said Friday that Iran's pledge not to build a nuclear weapon would need "very strong" verification, as the United States and the Islamic republic negotiate a permanent settlement to end their war.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days