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Ukrainian drones hit Russian vessels and air defence systems in occupied Kerch overnight: details of the operation
Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) drones struck two Russian military supply ships and air defence systems in Kerch on the night of 25-26 June as part of a 40-day operation in Crimea approved by the president the day before.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация— 50% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days